Badger Bracketology

Last week, we posted our college football playoff forecasts, from most likely to least likely to make the playoff. Our playoff forecasts then were as follows: 1 Oklahoma 2 Alabama 3 Clemson 4 Michigan State …

We are down to our final college football playoffs. Conference championship games are very important, but at this point every other game is inconsequential. There is no Big 12 championship, and both of our models …

Wow, what an exciting weekend of games. Ohio State’s loss — and to a lesser extent Oklahoma State’s loss — changed the rankings and forecasts. We now forecast Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma, Michigan State, and Notre …

With the end of the season near, there are few teams that have a chance to make the playoffs. Both models agree that Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Notre Dame and maybe Oklahoma are the clear …

The rankings have changed a bit since the upsets this weekend. We now have Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame in our mLRMC playoff. In the ln(mLRMC) playoff, we have Stanford but not Notre …

Another week of college football, another week of college football rankings. It looks like our model likes Clemson, LSU, Ohio State, Stanford, and Florida for making the playoff. We see that our two model variants …

Welcome to Badger Bracketology 2.0! We have an updated methodology this year that relies on Markov chains, logistic regression, and simulation to forecast the four team college football playoff. Read more about it here. We …