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Badger Bracketology
Sports analytics from Laura Albert's team at the University of Wisconsin-Madison College of Engineering
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NCAA football playoff methodology

NCAA Football rankings: October 15, 2017

Posted on October 16, 2017

Here are this week’s composite rankings. This ranking combines several of the Markov chain based rankings I’ve worked on over the years. I post my full rankings on the NCAAF rankings tab every week. 1 Alabama 2 …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

The math behind March Madness

Posted on March 20, 2017

On March 14, 2017 I gave a talk about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin-Madison campus. The talk was recorded and can be viewed …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

Tips for picking a winning bracket from Badger Bracketology

Posted on March 13, 2017

These tips for winning your March Madness bracket pool is reblogged from Punk Rock Operations Research. 1 Ignore RPI, use math based rankings instead to take strength of schedule into account. Ken Massey has a rankings …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

Badger bracketology will be talking about March Madness on March 14!

Posted on March 8, 2017

  I will be talking about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff on Tuesday, March 14 at 7:30 pm in the H.F. Deluca Forum in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin-Madison …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

hear a talk about Badger Bracketology on 3/1 @ 12:05 at UW-Madison

Posted on February 29, 2016

I will be giving a talk tomorrow on bracketology. Chaos and Complex Systems Seminar: Tuesday, March 1 12:05-1:00 p.m. 4274 Chamberlin Hall, How to rank sports teams and forecast game outcomes using math models. Laura …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

Badger Bracketology is on the Massey Rankings Composite!

Posted on January 14, 2016

I’m happy to announce that our rankings are on the Ken Massey’s college football rankings composite [Link] along with many other math-based rankings. Look for ” McLay LMLRMC.” Thanks Ken!  

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

hear a talk about Badger Bracketology on 12/9 @ 12:30 at UW-Madison

Posted on December 8, 2015

I will be talking about Badger Bracketology this week. Time: Wednesday, December 9th, 12:30pm. Location: Wisconsin Institute for Discovery, room 3280. Speaker: Laura Albert McLay, Associate Professor, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, UW-Madison. Title: A Modified Logistic Regression …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

final NCAA football rankings

Posted on December 6, 2015

Here are the final Badger Bracketology rankings. We think the committee got it right. mLRMC rankings: Alabama Clemson Michigan State Oklahoma Ohio State Stanford Houston Iowa Notre Dame Florida State North Carolina Western Kentucky Mississippi …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

Rankings vs. forecasts

Posted on November 24, 2015

The Playoff Selection Committee’s rankings yield the ranking right now, which only gives insights into who would be in a playoff if it were held today. Our method simulates the rest of the season to …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology

final thoughts on our NCAA football playoff forecasting model

Posted on December 10, 2014

Here are some final thoughts on our model and methodology. First, the pros. Our models worked really well considering how little information they use. Really well. I thought 12-13 games would not be enough to …

Posted in NCAA football playoff methodology
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