Sports analytics from Laura Albert at the College of Engineering
Here are this week’s composite rankings. This ranking combines several of the Markov chain based rankings I’ve worked on over the years. I post my full rankings on the NCAAF rankings tab every week. 1 Alabama 2 Penn St 3 Georgia 4 TCU 5 Clemson 6 USC 7 UCF 8 Wisconsin 9 Ohio St 10 Michigan St …
On March 14, 2017 I gave a talk about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin–Madison campus. The talk was recorded and can be viewed here: My slides from the talk are here: Bracketology talk at the Crossroads of ideas from Laura Albert McLay
These tips for winning your March Madness bracket pool is reblogged from Punk Rock Operations Research. 1 Ignore RPI, use math based rankings instead to take strength of schedule into account. Ken Massey has a rankings clearinghouse here: http://www.masseyratings.com/cb/compare.htm. I’m happy to say that I’m the only women contributor to this list 🙂 My rankings are posted …
I will be talking about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff on Tuesday, March 14 at 7:30 pm in the H.F. Deluca Forum in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin–Madison camps. I hope to see you there!
I will be giving a talk tomorrow on bracketology. Chaos and Complex Systems Seminar: Tuesday, March 1 12:05-1:00 p.m. 4274 Chamberlin Hall, How to rank sports teams and forecast game outcomes using math models. Laura Albert McLay, Industrial and Systems Engineering Selecting the teams for the College Football Playoff for NCAA men’s football is a …
I’m happy to announce that our rankings are on the Ken Massey’s college football rankings composite [Link] along with many other math-based rankings. Look for ” McLay LMLRMC.” Thanks Ken!
I will be talking about Badger Bracketology this week. Time: Wednesday, December 9th, 12:30pm. Location: Wisconsin Institute for Discovery, room 3280. Speaker: Laura Albert McLay, Associate Professor, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, UW–Madison. Title: A Modified Logistic Regression Markov Chain Model for Forecasting the College Football Playoff. Abstract: Selecting the teams for the College Football Playoff for NCAA Division …
Here are the final Badger Bracketology rankings. We think the committee got it right. mLRMC rankings: Alabama Clemson Michigan State Oklahoma Ohio State Stanford Houston Iowa Notre Dame Florida State North Carolina Western Kentucky Mississippi Texas Christian Michigan Oklahoma State Oregon Florida Bowling Green Temple Navy Northwestern Utah Baylor Memphis ln(mLRMC) rankings: Alabama Clemson Michigan …
The Playoff Selection Committee’s rankings yield the ranking right now, which only gives insights into who would be in a playoff if it were held today. Our method simulates the rest of the season to forecast who might be in the playoff at the end of the season by taking the remaining schedule (and strength …
Here are some final thoughts on our model and methodology. First, the pros. Our models worked really well considering how little information they use. Really well. I thought 12-13 games would not be enough to provide a reasonable forecast, but we ended up being very close to the committee rankings. All three versions of the …