Here are this week’s composite rankings. This ranking combines several of the Markov chain based rankings I’ve worked on over the years. I post my full rankings on the NCAAF rankings tab every week. 1 Alabama 2 …
NCAA football playoff methodology
The math behind March Madness
On March 14, 2017 I gave a talk about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin-Madison campus. The talk was recorded and can be viewed …
Tips for picking a winning bracket from Badger Bracketology
These tips for winning your March Madness bracket pool is reblogged from Punk Rock Operations Research. 1 Ignore RPI, use math based rankings instead to take strength of schedule into account. Ken Massey has a rankings …
Badger bracketology will be talking about March Madness on March 14!
I will be talking about bracketology, March Madness, and the College Football Playoff on Tuesday, March 14 at 7:30 pm in the H.F. Deluca Forum in the Discovery Building on the University of Wisconsin-Madison …
hear a talk about Badger Bracketology on 3/1 @ 12:05 at UW-Madison
I will be giving a talk tomorrow on bracketology. Chaos and Complex Systems Seminar: Tuesday, March 1 12:05-1:00 p.m. 4274 Chamberlin Hall, How to rank sports teams and forecast game outcomes using math models. Laura …
Badger Bracketology is on the Massey Rankings Composite!
I’m happy to announce that our rankings are on the Ken Massey’s college football rankings composite [Link] along with many other math-based rankings. Look for ” McLay LMLRMC.” Thanks Ken!
hear a talk about Badger Bracketology on 12/9 @ 12:30 at UW-Madison
I will be talking about Badger Bracketology this week. Time: Wednesday, December 9th, 12:30pm. Location: Wisconsin Institute for Discovery, room 3280. Speaker: Laura Albert McLay, Associate Professor, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, UW-Madison. Title: A Modified Logistic Regression …
final NCAA football rankings
Here are the final Badger Bracketology rankings. We think the committee got it right. mLRMC rankings: Alabama Clemson Michigan State Oklahoma Ohio State Stanford Houston Iowa Notre Dame Florida State North Carolina Western Kentucky Mississippi …
Rankings vs. forecasts
The Playoff Selection Committee’s rankings yield the ranking right now, which only gives insights into who would be in a playoff if it were held today. Our method simulates the rest of the season to …
final thoughts on our NCAA football playoff forecasting model
Here are some final thoughts on our model and methodology. First, the pros. Our models worked really well considering how little information they use. Really well. I thought 12-13 games would not be enough to …