- We love the New York Times Fourth Down bot! Here is an article about its updated methodology for analyzing NFL fourth down decisions.
- Regression to the mean or reversion to the mean? It’s more likely the latter. Michael Lopez explains.
- Wayne Winston has a coursera course on sports analytics.
- What is the percentage chance a team wins the game based on the closing point spread? A 7 point favorite wins 70% of the time.
- FiveThirtyEight has a simulation for the NFL season that is similar in spirit to ours. They have a short video explaining why the best teams in their forecasting model doesn’t win as many games as you would expect.