Sports analytics from Laura Albert at the College of Engineering
The rankings have changed a bit since the upsets this weekend. We now have Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame in our mLRMC playoff. In the ln(mLRMC) playoff, we have Stanford but not Notre Dame. Stanford seems to benefit from being undefeated in Pac12 conference games and a great chance of winning their conference …
Another week of college football, another week of college football rankings. It looks like our model likes Clemson, LSU, Ohio State, Stanford, and Florida for making the playoff. We see that our two model variants have different forecasts this week. In part, this is because teams like Ohio State have tough competition through the Big …
Welcome to Badger Bracketology 2.0! We have an updated methodology this year that relies on Markov chains, logistic regression, and simulation to forecast the four team college football playoff. Read more about it here. We have two versions of the model that weigh the games slightly differently, and we will therefore have two flavors of …
Our final college football playoff rankings agreed with the committee’s final ranking in terms of who gets in, but our seeding was a bit different (we swapped Ohio State and Oregon). Alabama Ohio State Florida State Oregon TCU Baylor Let’s not discuss where …
This will be our last forecasts for the 2014 College Football Playoff. With at most one game left in the season for most teams, we see that for all practical purposes all but nine teams will be excluded from the playoff. Our top 5 teams to make the playoff are the same as those in …
There weren’t so many upsets among the best teams this week (mainly Ole Miss), so we see less shuffling around in terms of who will be ranked in the top 4 at the end of the season. With 1-2 games left in the season for most teams, we see that for all practical purposes, almost …
Several big upsets in this weekend’s games are reflected in our rankings and playoff forecasts. Most teams have about two games left plus maybe a conference championship game, so nearly all teams have been mathematically eliminated from the playoff. However, some teams have an easier path to the playoff than others. For example, after Wisconsin’s …
Another week of exciting games leads to the results that indicate that the SEC West is producing the best teams in the country. This is also the week that we are seeing that most teams basically have no shot of making it into the playoff. Our models have a “damping factor” that allows for more …
With the end of the season coming up in about a month, we see that almost anything could happen in the NCAA football playoff. There were few upsets this week (Georgia, Arizona) and as a result, we do not see too much change in the forecasts. The B1G West is still up for grabs, and …
We have another week of NCAA playoff forecasts. This weekend’s games included some exciting outcomes and upsets like the Illinois/Minnesota game. We noticed that these results shook things up in our model. With Minnesota’s loss to Illinois, Nebraska is the clear favorite in the B1G West. While Michigan State and Ohio State are higher ranked …