Sports analytics from Laura Albert at the College of Engineering
Here are our new college football rankings. These are current rankings. Another week’s worth of data has helped our rankings look better, and in a week or two we will start to forecast the rest of the season. Stay tuned! 1 Michigan 2 Alabama 3 Texas A+M 4 Ohio State 5 Clemson 6 Washington 7 …
We are kicking off our college football rankings a bit earlier this year, although we don’t really have enough completed games to use as input to our math model, and therefore some of the teams in our top 25 look like they don’t belong (We’re looking at you, Georgia Tech!). Stay tuned! In future weeks …
Here are the final ln(mLRMC) NCAA college football rankings including the results of all bowl games.Congrats to the B1G, which has 4 teams in the top 11 and to Wisconsin, who rose to #23 after beating USC in the Holiday Bowl. ================================================================ 1 Alabama 2 Clemson 3 Stanford 4 Ohio State 5 Michigan State 6 …
Last week, we posted our college football playoff forecasts, from most likely to least likely to make the playoff. Our playoff forecasts then were as follows: 1 Oklahoma 2 Alabama 3 Clemson 4 Michigan State 5 Iowa We note that Oklahoma was #1 because they do not have any remaining games in their schedule. With …
We are down to our final college football playoffs. Conference championship games are very important, but at this point every other game is inconsequential. There is no Big 12 championship, and both of our models have Oklahoma in the College Football Playoff in every simulation. It’s worth noting that Oklahoma is not currently ranked #1 …
Wow, what an exciting weekend of games. Ohio State’s loss — and to a lesser extent Oklahoma State’s loss — changed the rankings and forecasts. We now forecast Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma, Michigan State, and Notre Dame are likely to make the playoff. We see that the path to the playoff is easier for some teams …
With the end of the season near, there are few teams that have a chance to make the playoffs. Both models agree that Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Notre Dame and maybe Oklahoma are the clear favorites. Others have a chance, but not a big chance. The two forecasting models we use work in the same …
The rankings have changed a bit since the upsets this weekend. We now have Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame in our mLRMC playoff. In the ln(mLRMC) playoff, we have Stanford but not Notre Dame. Stanford seems to benefit from being undefeated in Pac12 conference games and a great chance of winning their conference …
Another week of college football, another week of college football rankings. It looks like our model likes Clemson, LSU, Ohio State, Stanford, and Florida for making the playoff. We see that our two model variants have different forecasts this week. In part, this is because teams like Ohio State have tough competition through the Big …
Welcome to Badger Bracketology 2.0! We have an updated methodology this year that relies on Markov chains, logistic regression, and simulation to forecast the four team college football playoff. Read more about it here. We have two versions of the model that weigh the games slightly differently, and we will therefore have two flavors of …