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Sports analytics from Laura Albert at the University of Wisconsin-Madison College of Engineering
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Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 13

Posted on December 1, 2015

We are down to our final college football playoffs. Conference championship games are very important, but at this point every other game is inconsequential. There is no Big 12 championship, and both of our models …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 12

Posted on November 23, 2015

Wow, what an exciting weekend of games. Ohio State’s loss — and to a lesser extent Oklahoma State’s loss — changed the rankings and forecasts. We now forecast Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma, Michigan State, and Notre …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 11

Posted on November 16, 2015

With the end of the season near, there are few teams that have a chance to make the playoffs. Both models agree that Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, Notre Dame and maybe Oklahoma are the clear …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 10

Posted on November 9, 2015

The rankings have changed a bit since the upsets this weekend. We now have Clemson, Alabama, Ohio State and Notre Dame in our mLRMC playoff. In the ln(mLRMC) playoff, we have Stanford but not Notre …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 9

Posted on November 2, 2015

Another week of college football, another week of college football rankings. It looks like our model likes Clemson, LSU, Ohio State, Stanford, and Florida for making the playoff. We see that our two model variants …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 8

Posted on October 26, 2015

Welcome to Badger Bracketology 2.0! We have an updated methodology this year that relies on Markov chains, logistic regression, and simulation to forecast the four team college football playoff. Read more about it here. We …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

Final college football rankings

Posted on December 9, 2014

Our final college football playoff rankings agreed with the committee’s final ranking in terms of who gets in, but our seeding was a bit different (we swapped Ohio State and Oregon).     Alabama   …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA Playoff forecasts, week 14

Posted on December 5, 2014

This will be our last forecasts for the 2014 College Football Playoff. With at most one game left in the season for most teams, we see that for all practical purposes all but nine teams …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 13

Posted on November 24, 2014

There weren’t so many upsets among the best teams this week (mainly Ole Miss), so we see less shuffling around in terms of who will be ranked in the top 4 at the end of …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings

NCAA football playoff forecasts, week 12

Posted on November 17, 2014

Several big upsets in this weekend’s games are reflected in our rankings and playoff forecasts. Most teams have about two games left plus maybe a conference championship game, so nearly all teams have been mathematically …

Posted in Weekly NCAA football rankings
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