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Below are the teams forecasted to make the College Football Playoff based on a simulation of the remaining season and conference championship games. These are different than the rankings (see this week’s NCAA football rankings), since this …

March 29, 2018 I’ve re-ranked the men’s basketball teams based on all games leading up to the Final Four. The remaining four teams (in boldface) are ranked 1st, 3rd, 7th, and 19th. 1 Villanova 2 …

Here are where the Sweet 16 teams were ranked on Selection Sunday in my composite rankings, creating by combining several ranking methods: 1 Villanova 4 Purdue 5 Kansas 7 Duke 8 Gonzaga 11 Michigan 12 …

Here are my composite Markov chain rankings for February 26, 2018.  The full ranking is under the “NCAA BB rankings” tab. Michigan St Villanova Virginia Purdue Cincinnati Duke Kansas Auburn Xavier Gonzaga North Carolina Wichita St …

Top teams forecasted to make the College Football Playoff based on a simulation of the remaining season and conference championship games: 1 Georgia 2 Notre Dame 3 Penn St 4 Wisconsin 5 Alabama 6 Clemson …

Watch me on WISC-TV (CBS) Live at Four on 3/15/2016 I had a wonderful time on Live at Four talking about bracketology. Kudos to Susan Siman and Mark Koehn as well as producer Steve Koehn for making everything …

The University Communications group at the University of Wisconsin-Madison asked me to film a short video about bracketology, math (what is a Markov chain?), and what we can learn from bring math into bracketology. It was …

We love the New York Times Fourth Down bot! Here is an article about its updated methodology for analyzing NFL fourth down decisions. Regression to the mean or reversion to the mean? It’s more likely …