I will be talking about Badger Bracketology this week.
Time: Wednesday, December 9th, 12:30pm.
Location: Wisconsin Institute for Discovery, room 3280.
Speaker: Laura Albert McLay, Associate Professor, Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, UW-Madison.
Title: A Modified Logistic Regression Markov Chain Model for Forecasting the College Football Playoff.
Abstract: Selecting the teams for the College Football Playoff for NCAA Division IA men’s football is a controversial process performed by the selection committee. We present a method for forecasting the four team playoff weeks before the selection committee makes this decision. Our method uses a modified logistic regression/Markov chain model for rating the teams, predicting the outcomes of the unplayed games, and simulating the unplayed games in the remainder of the season to forecast the teams that will be selected for the four team playoff.
Things I will discuss:
- Did the College Football Playoff committee get it right?
- Can math get it right?
- Was Iowa really overrated?
I’ll answer these questions and more. And yes, there will be lots of badger pictures!