Here are our final rankings. UNC just edged out Villanova for final first place finish. The full ranking is under the “NCAA BB rankings” tab. Wisconsin finished 30th, which was their highest rank at any point during the season.
1 North Carolina
6 Michigan St
8 West Virginia
9 Miami FL
16 Texas A&M
18 Iowa St
20 Notre Dame
21 Seton Hall
25 G Washington
See you next year! Stay tuned for college football season in the fall.
The University Communications group at the University of Wisconsin-Madison asked me to film a short video about bracketology, math (what is a Markov chain?), and what we can learn from bring math into bracketology. It was a wonderful experience, and I’m thrilled with the final product. I can’t take credit — the video was produced by Justin Bomberg and the video and reflects his vision.
The video is just under 3 minutes long. We filmed this before the selections were made, and as you can see, I recommend picking 10 seeds to upset 7 seeds. And of course, Wisconsin ended up seeded 7. Sorry team! Also, I naively agreed to attempt to attempt to spin a basketball on my finger while the film was rolling…I think you’ll easily understand why I’m more comfortable with the math.
I’m looking forward to watching the tournament. Go Badgers!
Chaos and Complex Systems Seminar: Tuesday, March 1
4274 Chamberlin Hall,
How to rank sports teams and forecast game outcomes using math models.
Laura Albert McLay, Industrial and Systems Engineering
Selecting the teams for the College Football Playoff for NCAA men’s football is a controversial process performed by the selection committee. We present a method for forecasting the four team playoff weeks before the selection committee makes this decision. Our method uses a modified logistic regression/Markov chain model for rating the teams, predicting the outcomes of the unplayed games, and simulating the unplayed games in the remainder of the season to forecast the teams that will be selected for the four team playoff. We will discuss how the method can be applied to rank NCAA basketball teams and fill out a bracket in the tournament.